人与自然和谐共生是中国式现代化的本质要求,只有生态-经济-社会(EES)系统之间协调发展,才能建成符合人与自然协调发展的高质量野生动物栖息地。本研究以北京周边各区2009-2017年数据为依据,从EES系统角度选取指标并采用客观-AHP法(客观层次分析法)对各指标进行赋权后,根据变异系数协调发展模型得到各区野生动物栖息地EES系统之间的协调发展度,最后以怀柔区为例探究协调发展度对野生动物栖息地质量的实际影响。结果表明:(1)采用客观-AHP进行赋权,根据AIC值最小原则选择AIC值为505.707 6的SpeAHP判断矩阵,生态系统权重最大为0.460 9,社会系统权重为0.281 7,经济系统权重为0.257 4;(2)各区协调度较高,除由于生态系统得分增幅过大而引起的失调外,其余均处于协调状态,但发展度较低,属于低发展的协调;(3) EES系统协调发展度呈现随时间逐渐增大的态势,在6个区中,房山区、怀柔区、门头沟区EES系统协调发展度在2016年和2017年达到初级协调,其野生动物栖息地质量要高于其他各区;(4)栖息地内EES系统之间的协调度,对区域内人兽冲突的发生频率存在负向影响。
Harmonious coexistence between man and nature is the essential requirement of Chinese modernization, and only through the coordinated development of the ecological-economic-social (EES) systems can a high-quality wildlife habitat, conducive to the harmonious development between humans and nature, be built. Based on the data from various districts around Beijing from 2009 to 2017, we select indicators from the EES system perspective and adopts the objec tive-AHP method (Objective Analytic Hierarchy Process) to assign weights to each indicator. Based on the coefficient of variation coordination development model, we obtain the degree of coordinated development between the EES systems of wild animal habitats in each district. Finally, using Huairou District as an example, we explore the actual impact of the degree of coordinated development on the quality of wild animal habitats. The results show that using objective-AHP for weighting, the Spe-AHP judgment matrix with an AIC value of 505.707 6 is selected based on the principle of mini mum AIC value. The maximum weight of the ecological system is 0.460 9, the weight of the social system is 0.281 7, and the weight of the economic system is 0.257 4. The coordination degree of each district is relatively high, except for the imbalance caused by the significant increase in the ecological system score, the others are in a coordinated state, but with low development, belonging to low development coordination. The degree of coordinated development of EES sys tems shows a gradual increase over time. Among the six districts, Fangshan, Huairou, and Mentougou reached primary coordination in 2016 and 2017, with the quality of wild animal habitats being higher than in other districts. The coordina tion between EES systems within habitats has a negative impact on the frequency of human-wildlife conflicts in the re gion.
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