ACTA THERIOLOGICA SINICA ›› 2023, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (2): 149-156.DOI: 10.16829/j.slxb.150706
• ORIGINAL PAPERS • Previous Articles Next Articles
Xiulin YE1, Keji GUO2, Xinrui LI1, Qing WU1, Mengfei ZHANG2, Ming LI3, Xumao ZHAO1()
Received:
2022-06-15
Accepted:
2022-10-08
Online:
2023-03-30
Published:
2023-03-23
Contact:
Xumao ZHAO
叶秀林1, 郭克疾2, 李欣蕊1, 吴庆1, 张梦斐2, 李明3, 赵序茅1()
通讯作者:
赵序茅
作者简介:
叶秀林 (1999- ),男,硕士研究生,主要从事保护生物学研究.
基金资助:
CLC Number:
Xiulin YE, Keji GUO, Xinrui LI, Qing WU, Mengfei ZHANG, Ming LI, Xumao ZHAO. Climate change results in imbalance population growth and change in suitable habitat for red deer in the Qinghai‒Tibet Plateau: a case study in the Leiwuqi National Nature Reserve[J]. ACTA THERIOLOGICA SINICA, 2023, 43(2): 149-156.
叶秀林, 郭克疾, 李欣蕊, 吴庆, 张梦斐, 李明, 赵序茅. 气候变化导致青藏高原马鹿种群适应性分布退缩:以类乌齐马鹿国家级自然保护区为例[J]. 兽类学报, 2023, 43(2): 149-156.
时间 Time | 适宜栖息地 Suitable habitat (km2) | 特征值 Feature classes | 10%遗漏率 OR10 | 贝叶斯值 Boyce | 阈值 Threshold | 重要因子 Important factors | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
马鹿 Red deer | 牦牛 Yak | 马鹿Red deer | 牦牛 Yak | 马鹿 Red deer | 牦牛 Yak | 马鹿Red deer | 牦牛 Yak | 马鹿Red deer | 牦牛 Yak | 马鹿 Red deer | 牦牛 Yak | |
当前Current | 1 167 | 225 | LQ | LQ | 0.57 | 0.39 | 0.27 | 0.23 | 0.31 | 0.34 | 土地覆被、Bio7、 距道路距离 | 海拔、 Bio12 |
2050s | 660 | 395 | ― | ― | ― | ― | ― | ― | ― | ― | ― | |
2070s | 1 108 | 410 | ― | ― | ― | ― | ― | ― | ― | ― | ― |
Table 1 The setting in the MaxEnt model and change in suitable habitat and average elevation
时间 Time | 适宜栖息地 Suitable habitat (km2) | 特征值 Feature classes | 10%遗漏率 OR10 | 贝叶斯值 Boyce | 阈值 Threshold | 重要因子 Important factors | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
马鹿 Red deer | 牦牛 Yak | 马鹿Red deer | 牦牛 Yak | 马鹿 Red deer | 牦牛 Yak | 马鹿Red deer | 牦牛 Yak | 马鹿Red deer | 牦牛 Yak | 马鹿 Red deer | 牦牛 Yak | |
当前Current | 1 167 | 225 | LQ | LQ | 0.57 | 0.39 | 0.27 | 0.23 | 0.31 | 0.34 | 土地覆被、Bio7、 距道路距离 | 海拔、 Bio12 |
2050s | 660 | 395 | ― | ― | ― | ― | ― | ― | ― | ― | ― | |
2070s | 1 108 | 410 | ― | ― | ― | ― | ― | ― | ― | ― | ― |
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